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Stephen Richards

Managing Director

Articles written by Stephen Richards

Countdown to unisex pricing

In just over one year's time, insurers throughout the European Union will be prohibited from using a person's gender to price insurance risks.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: gender, Filter information matrix by tag: annuities

Lost in translation (reprise)

Late last year I drew up a table of actuarial terms and their translation for statisticians.  I had thought that it was a uniquely actuarial trait to use different names compared to other disciplines.  It turns out that statisticians are almost as guilty.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: hazard function, Filter information matrix by tag: information matrix, Filter information matrix by tag: score function, Filter information matrix by tag: log-likelihood

Dealing with missing data

In an earlier post we looked at how to create a proxy for ill-health early retirements based on age at commencement.  This is an example of dealing with missing data — we infer a useful proxy to replace the lost or missing health status at retirement.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: missing data

Pension-fund socialism

In an earlier posting we looked at several examples where a pension scheme dominates the picture of the company's finances and value.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: pension schemes

Recurrent problem

Actuarial work involves calculating the present value of future liabilities.  In the case of pension funds and annuity portfolios, this means valuing future pension payments. This typically involves calculating a lot of annuity factors, often using spreadsheets.

Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: annuities

Risk and models under Solvency II

Insurers need to have internal models for their major risks. Indeed, both the Individual Capital Assessment (ICA) regime in the UK and the pending Solvency II rules in the EU demand that insurers have good models for their risks.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: ICA, Filter information matrix by tag: Solvency II, Filter information matrix by tag: model risk, Filter information matrix by tag: basis risk, Filter information matrix by tag: concentration risk, Filter information matrix by tag: model points

Summary judgement

In previous posts we have looked at problems with the quality and reliability of cause-of-death data and a list of hurdles for mortality projections based on such data.  One other issue is that of detail.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: cause of death, Filter information matrix by tag: missing data

Sense and sensitivity

Annuities are a good example of the cornerstone of actuarial work: discounting future probabilities of payment to allow for the time value of money.  Low interest rates have had major consequences for savers looking for income in retirement, but they are also one reason behind renewed actuarial focus on longevity in recent years.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: Solvency II, Filter information matrix by tag: longevity risk, Filter information matrix by tag: longevity shocks, Filter information matrix by tag: gilt yields

Tail wags dog

Last week we looked at the odd situation whereby longevity risk is regulated more strictly in an insurance-company annuity portfolio than in a company pension scheme.  One argument for the different treatment is that the sponsoring employer is a source of ongoing financial support for the scheme.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: longevity risk, Filter information matrix by tag: pension schemes

Solvency II for pensions?

Casual readers could be forgiven for thinking that pensions and annuities have a lot in common, and that they should therefore be regulated in a similar manner.  After all, both annuity portfolios and pension schemes are exposed to a host of similar risks, such as increased longevity.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: Solvency II, Filter information matrix by tag: longevity risk