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Posts feedModelling mortality shocks
The ongoing coronavirus pandemic has so far produced two mortality shocks in the UK and many other countries. Unsurprisingly, the extra mortality is also visible in annuity portfolios. Such mortality spikes create a c
Buy versus build
If you are in the business of pricing and managing longevity risk, you need software to help you perform your analysis. You have two choices:
EDS - Enhanced Dedicated Servers
A large part of our service has traditionally revolved around Dedicated Servers — parallelised instances of our applications running on multi-threaded platforms for a single license holder (in contrast our shared servers offer single-thread performance in a multi-tenant way to multiple license holders, a model that is suitable for only the least demanding use-cases).
A Problem of Excess
Epidemics and pandemics are, by definition, fast-moving and difficult to track. These are the diseases that we couldn't keep a lid on, outbreaks that breached our initial efforts at control. It follows then, that ongoing reporting of such diseases won't be entirely accurate, subject to various limitations imposed by testing and recording protocols. This reality is misused by some who believe that reported impacts are exaggerated and societal responses unjustified, but such a belief runs counter to the evidence.
Deadly parallels
A pandemic retrospective
Orders of magnitude
An abundance of clots?
Allowing for reporting delays
In a previous blog I outlined my six-month rule of thumb for discarding mortality experience affected by reporting delays. However, this can be awkward where there is a hard limit on how far back the experience data goes. For example, when a pension scheme switches administrator, or an insurer migrates business from one system to another, past mortality data is usually the first casualty.