Creative thinking around longevity risk

The U.K. has been a hotbed of innovation when dealing with the longevity risk found in pension schemes.  Historically, schemes had the option of a traditional buy-out or buy-in policy with an insurance company (a route which may be cheaper than some people realise).  Then we saw the advent of index-based hedging, although this option has its challenges and is more of a niche market at the time of writing.  However, other innovations have shown vigorous growth, such as the market for longevity swaps.  Now the BT pension scheme (BTPS) has shown a new level of creative thinking for pension schemes: setting up your own wholly-owned insurance company so you can tap the global reinsurance market.

BTPS's move brought a wry smile to my lips when I thought of the last time it appeared in our blog.  In that post I asked why pensions paid by an insurer were regulated more stringently than pensions paid by a pension scheme.  In particular, I noted that BT's pension scheme contained longevity liabilities as large as those of any insurer in the U.K.  And now part of BTPS's liabilities will be subject to insurance-company regulation after all!

Other novel options remain to be fully explored, such as the ability of pension funds and annuity portfolios to make long-term loans.  It is also clear that not all innovations will be options for every scheme — running an insurance company, like BTPS, is not a trivial undertaking.  Nevertheless, as scheme liabilities age rapidly it seems safe to bet on continued innovation and creative thinking in dealing with longevity risk.

Previous posts

Excel's limits

We have written in the past about some of the reasons why we don't use Excel to fit our models.  However, we do use Excel for validation purposes — fitting models using two entirely separate tools is a good way of checking production code.  That said, there are some important limits to Excel, especially when it comes to fitting projection models.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: Excel, Filter information matrix by tag: Lee-Carter, Filter information matrix by tag: APC, Filter information matrix by tag: Cairns-Blake-Dowd

Wind-up and buy-out - the cheaper option?

The words "cheap" or "cheaper" are not normally seen in the same sentence as pension scheme wind-up or buy-out.  However, my challenge is whether it is not indeed the cheaper option after taking into account the capitalised costs of running a pension scheme for another 10 or 20 years.
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: buy-out, Filter information matrix by tag: buy-in

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