Between a rock and a hard place

The Advocate General of the European Court has recently opined that "the use of actuarial factors based on sex is incompatible with the principle of equal treatment for men and women".  This is an interesting example of a collision between a fine ideal (equal treatment for men and women) and everyday insurance realities (young males crash a lot of cars and women tend to live longer than men).

However, the hopes of any consumers expecting cheaper insurance prices are likely to be dashed.  Restricting insurers' ability to price according to risk will impose costs, as outlined in a speech by Calum McCarthy the last time this subject was topical.  Like any other business, the insurance industry will pass any extra costs to consumers in the form of higher prices.

Insurance companies might not be top of people's favourite institutions, but the text of the accompanying press release suggests a lack of understanding of how insurers run their business: "different insurance risks can at most be associated statistically with gender."  How else should insurers measure risk?  The fact that insurers use statistical associations between risk and risk factors is not a flaw, but rather the cornerstone of rational risk management.

If the use of gender is forbidden in insurance pricing, fans of Franz Kafka and Joseph Heller will appreciate the bizarre position in which EU insurers would find themselves.  On the one hand they are not to use gender in pricing because "the Advocate General is of the opinion that [gender] does not relate to any clear biological differences between insured persons".  On the other hand, the EU's own Solvency II framework will require gender-differentiated rates in reserving precisely because gender is such an important rating factor.  

Written by: Stephen Richards
Publication Date:
Last Updated:

Previous posts

Putting the TAS into Longevitas

In the UK the Board for Actuarial Standards (BAS) has published a series of Technical Actuarial Standards (TAS).  At the time of writing there are three standards which are either in force or shortly will be: one for data (TAS-D), one for reports (TAS-R) and one for actuarial models (TAS-M).
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: BAS, Filter information matrix by tag: TAS

Underflow

Earlier I described a problem in mathematical computing for mortality modelling.  This was where an intermediate step resulted in a number too big for the computer to handle, causing the entire calculation to overflow and fail. 
Tags: Filter information matrix by tag: floating point, Filter information matrix by tag: machine arithmetic, Filter information matrix by tag: precision

Comments

Paul Harding

12 November 2010

Stephen, that's a great point about Solvency II. We'd all fail the use test. Have you made this point to the EU?

Add new comment

Restricted HTML

  • Allowed HTML tags: <a href hreflang> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote cite> <code> <ul type> <ol start type> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <h2 id> <h3 id> <h4 id> <h5 id> <h6 id>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and email addresses turn into links automatically.