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Posts feedMortality crossover
In a previous blog I discussed the importance of mortality convergence to actuaries, i.e. how mortality differentials narrow with age and how this interacts with discounting of cashflows.
Mortality convergence
In his blog on socio-economic differentials in England and Wales, Torsten Kleinow showed how mortality rates between sub-groups converge with age. And in his blog on ill-health retirements, Kai Kaufhold demonstrated how excess mortality relative to normal retirements reduces, then vanishes.
Socio-economic differentials: convergence and divergence
Many western countries, including the UK, have recently experienced a slowdown in mortality improvements. This might lead to the conclusion that the age of increasing life expectancies is over. But is that the case for everyone?
Mind the gap!
Recognising and quantifying mortality differentials is what experience analysis is all about. Whether you calculate traditional A/E ratios, graduate raw rates by formula (Forfar et al. 1988), or fit a statistical model (Richards 2012), the aim is always to find risk factors influencing the level of mortality.